FRAUD: Zogby exit polls indicated that Kerry would win Florida & Ohio, & BUSH STOLE THEM
LEAKED EXIT POLLS FROM A MORE INDEPENDENT 'CHECKING' SOURCE--ZOGBY--TO COMPARE!: "The night's cliff-hanger was unexpected in the early evening, however, as leaked exit polls indicated that Kerry would win both Florida and Ohio. One renowned pollster, John Zogby, who works for Reuters, said on his Web site at 5 P.M. ET that Kerry would win 311 electoral votes. But exit polls, like all polls, have a margin of error, ... [unless you are Edison Media Research & Mitofsky INTERNATIONAL and then you can "call it" so accurately they would think you rigged it, I'm not kidding. Edison Media Research & Mitofsky INTERNATIONAL then the Associated Press have had a total national monopoly through their three interlocked corporations of all national election information from districts to the networks. This is the single conduit from which all information only has been 'allowed' to get to the TV media. Then you can miraculously guess it down to the tenth of a percentage point and Diebold/ES&S (both counting about 80% of the U.S. vote in total secrecy under one team of Urosovich brothers who manage both companies) can follow suit to know where to change the results in real time.]
"Many in the press and in the Bush Administration believed in the so-called Incumbent Rule. That rule, based on a claimed historical trend, indicates that the vast majority of undecided voters tend to "break" for the challenger. Since **the last pre-election polls said Bush was favored by about [only] 48% of the voters,** it was assumed that the late break would swing the election to Kerry. That did not happen,..."
PLUS, THE OHIO RULES FOR PROVISIONAL BALLOTS WERE CHANGED--ONLY LAST WEEK. PLUS, MASSIVE VOTING REPORTED THERE TYPICALLY FAVORS DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES (WHILE SMALLER ELECTIONS TYPICALLY FAVOR ONLY REPUBLICANS)--THEY ARE NOT COMING OUT IN DROVES TO VOTE BUSH, IN CLEVELAND.
BUSH HAS STOLEN FLORIDA AND OHIO, STOLEN THE PRESIDENCY FOR THE SECOND TIME IN A ROW.
With Ohio Undecided, Election Still In Limbo
Dan Ackman, 11.03.04, 4:20 AM ET
The U.S. presidential election remained undecided into the early morning hours as the race for Ohio's 20 electoral votes was too close to call. Without counting the Ohio votes, President George W. Bush had 254 electoral votes, 16 shy of the 270 votes necessary for a majority. Sen. John Kerry, the Democratic nominee, had 242. The President had 51% of the national popular vote, compared to 48% for Kerry, a significantly wider margin than former Vice President Al Gore had as the Democratic nominee in 2000, when he lost narrowly to Bush in the Electoral College vote.
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With 98% of the precincts in Ohio counted, Bush had 2,739,009 votes, compared to 2,600,056 for Kerry. He led the national popular vote by 3.7 million, out of roughly 117 million votes cast. But the race was not over, as there are an indeterminate number of provisional and absentee ballots still not counted. Estimates of the number of uncounted votes in the Buckeye state were in the 300,000 range.
At 2:30 A.M. ET, John Edwards, the Democratic vice presidential nominee, spoke in Boston's Copley Plaza and said the Democrats would not concede until "every vote is counted." Republican campaign officials, however, claimed to reporters that they would certainly win Ohio and the White House, as Bush's lead in the state was insurmountable even if all the provisional ballots were counted. The math remains in dispute, and those ballots may not be counted for ten days.
If the Kerry-Edwards ticket winds up winning Ohio, they would be in good shape to take the election, particularly if they also win Wisconsin's ten electoral votes. Iowa remains too close to call as well. In all likelihood, though, Bush will be re-elected.
Elsewhere, yesterday's vote closely tracked the vote in the 2000 election. Bush won every state he won in 2000, except New Hampshire, and likely added New Mexico, which he lost four years ago. The President won Florida, which he won in 2000 by a margin of five percentage points after a court fight and a U.S. Supreme Court ruling. He won the Solid South and the prairie and mountain states, as was expected, with the possible exception of still-undecided New Mexico, which he lost narrowly last time, and Nevada, which he won in 2000.
The big difference between 2004 and 2000 was that this time Bush seemed to clearly win the popular vote, which he lost four years ago by roughly a half-million votes. Republicans also added to their majorities in the U.S. Senate and the House of Representatives.
Although the electoral vote tracked that of the 2000 election, the issues this year were dramatically different. In 2000, the economy was strong and the federal government was running a large surplus. But the political landscape changed drastically, of course, after the United States was rocked by the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks. Those attacks led to a war on terror and later a controversial war with Iraq. The Iraq war, terrorism and the economy, much weaker now, were the three most important issues for voters this year. Following the Sept. 11 attacks, the President's popularity soared; in late September of 2001, his approval rating reached 90%. When the Iraq war started in April 2003, his approval rating was still strong at 70%.
At the same time, the U.S. failed to find the weapons of mass destruction whose existence was the primary rationale for the war in Iraq, for which Bush declared an end to major combat operations in May 2003. The post-war insurgency led to the deaths of hundreds of U.S. soldiers; the death toll from the conflict in Iraq now exceeds 1,100, and the financial cost is nearing $200 billion. The economy has stayed relatively sour, growing but actually losing jobs during the Bush presidency. By the time of the election, the President's approval rating hovered in the high-40% range.
The President nevertheless maintained a lead throughout the fall election campaign, attacking Kerry's position on Iraq and his support for the military in general. Kerry managed to draw near to Bush in the opinion polls just fleetingly, after the presidential debates and then again in the days leading up to the election--or so it seemed. Throughout the campaign, officials of both parties said the key to victory would be winning two of the big three swing states, Pennsylvania, which Kerry won, Florida and Ohio.
The night's cliff-hanger was unexpected in the early evening, however, as leaked exit polls indicated that Kerry would win both Florida and Ohio. One renowned pollster, John Zogby, who works for Reuters (nasdaq: RTRSY - news - people ), said on his Web site at 5 P.M. ET that Kerry would win 311 electoral votes. But exit polls, like all polls, have a margin of error, and the actual vote in Florida was a surprise, as was the vote in Ohio, despite the still-undetermined result.
Many in the press and in the Bush Administration believed in the so-called Incumbent Rule. That rule, based on a claimed historical trend, indicates that the vast majority of undecided voters tend to "break" for the challenger. Since the last pre-election polls said Bush was favored by about 48% of the voters, it was assumed that the late break would swing the election to Kerry.
That did not happen, as Bush wound up clearing 50% nationally. Whether that will be enough to secure him a second term is an open question.
CINCINNATI Oct 23, 2004 — A federal appeals court ruled Saturday that provisional ballots Ohio voters cast outside their own precincts should not be counted, throwing out a lower-court decision that said such ballots are valid as long as they are cast in the correct county.
The ruling by the 6th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals supports an order issued by Ohio Secretary of State Kenneth Blackwell. Democrats had contended the Republican official's rules were too restrictive and intended to suppress the vote.
Ohio Democrats were discussing in a conference call Saturday night whether to file an appeal in the case, one of the first major tests of how such ballots will be handled in a close election.
Federal judges in several states have issued varying rulings on the issue of provisional ballots, which are intended to be backups for eligible voters whose names do not appear on the rolls. Saturday's ruling was the first time a federal appeals court has weighed in.
Ohio redrew its voting district lines after the 2000 Census to reflect population shifts [and to gerrymander the districts more], which led to some confusion as people went to vote at a polling place that no longer covered their neighborhood, another reason for voters to seek a provisional ballot.
Sara Cagle was angry but ready when poll workers told her she couldn't vote.
After waiting for two hours to get to the front of the line, she was notified that she was in the wrong precinct.
No, she replied, producing her card from the Franklin County Board of Elections. This was the place: Columbus Firehouse #7 at 1425 Indianola Ave.
Turns out both were right — this was where the elections board had told her to go, but it was the wrong precinct.
The elections board, on the card it mailed to Cagle, had her address as being on E. 10th Ave. There is no E. 10th Ave. — she lives on W. 10th Ave.
The mailman successfully delivered the card, and Cagle hadn't noticed the typo. Poll workers redirected her to the proper precinct.
"I was infuriated," the 24-year-old Ohio State University graduate student said.
Cagle wasn't the only voter in her precinct to get tripped up by a typo.
There were "four or five" people encountering the same problem, said presiding precinct judge Alesia Richardson. "After waiting an hour and a half, they were pretty upset."
At least one voter gave up in disgust. Cagle didn't. But she made a couple of trips back and forth between precincts, sorting it out, before finally casting a provisional ballot.
"After four hours, I was able to vote," Cagle said.
Poll workers at Westerville Precinct F at the Freewill Baptist Church, 630 N. State St., had never seen such a turnout in previous elections.
"There were at least 70 people in line when we opened," said worker Ray Yorizzo. "The line was out into the parking lot and halfway around the building. Some people waited an hour to vote."
A typical election would average about 400 voters for the whole day at the precinct in southern Delaware County. By 1 p.m., more than 450 people already had voted. Workers expected another deluge of voters by evening.
"We're impressed by the turnout," Yorizzo said.
Although the polls opened at 6:30 a.m., there was no voting going on at Columbus Alternative High School on McGuffey Road. That's because the precinct's three electronic voting machines all died — with over 100 people standing in line waiting to vote.
"Some voters got very angry because we had to turn them away and tell them they could wait or come back later," said poll worker Florence Funk. "One man started cursing and becoming belligerent, saying he was not even going to vote.
"But once the machines were fixed, several people in line let him vote ahead of them, saying this is way too important for you to get mad and just leave. You've got to vote.' "
The man voted and left, Funk said.
About half of the people standing in line waited for the machines to come back up, which they did at 7:10 a.m. Others put their names on a list to come back to vote later. As long as their names were on the list, they would be allowed to go ahead of the line to vote, Funk said.
Heather Kirby thought she'd just have to make sure to touch the right name in the electronic voting machine and she'd be done voting in less than five minutes.
After waiting two hours in line, she was anxious to record her vote and leave.
But things didn't go as planned for the 19-year-old first time voter — her name didn't appear on the voting rolls so she was offered a provisional ballot instead.
Disappointed, Kirby diligently punched out her choice, pulled the paper ballot from the punch machine and examined it for hanging chads.
"I want to make sure this counts," she said, as she held the ballot up to the lights. "I already have doubts that it will be counted since it's a provisional one and I'm so disappointed.
"This was my time to make my voice heard and to use this paper ballot, makes me sad and nervous that it will be for nothing."
Tearrill Watkins of Whitehall also had to punch his vote in using a provisional ballot. The 25-year-old first time voter made sure he registered to vote before the deadline, so was quite upset to find his name omitted from the rolls.
"Man, just as long as they see the important vote — the one for Kerry, that's all that really matters," he said, as he left the polls. "That's all I'm worried about."
People arrived via taxicab and joined hundreds waiting in lines inside St. Stephen the Martyr School, a poll location on the Southwest Side, to cast their vote.
Miriam Mansour, 57, waited almost an hour to vote and she said she loved every minute of it.
"I have voted in every presidential election since I became eligible and I've never seen anything like this. It's exciting to see this kind of interest," said Mansour of the Southwest Side.
Ronda Bivens, 23, waited about an hour to vote at St. Stephen. She left at about 3 p.m. without voting, because dozens of people were still ahead of her.
"The lines are just too long. I'm going to try to come back later," Bivens said. `It wasn't this bad the last time I voted. I was in an out in 20 minutes."
Bivens said her parents arrived at 6:30 a.m. waited nearly three hours to vote. She said she thought if she came after lunch she'd have better luck.
Bivens said many of her friends are voting this election to get Bush out of office. But she said she wasn't sure about either candidate. She said she would have liked to vote for Ralph Nader.
"I don't like either one. I've thought about closing my eyes and pushing a button," Bivens said.
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