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MESSAGE TO THE ANTIWAR MOVEMENT: WAKE UP!

Hey, this is the time to stand up and be counted.... In case you hadn't realized yet, the "war" in Iraq is not over. In fact, it is only moving towards a longer counter-insurgency phrase in Iraq. Furthermore if the following report is right, you have about a year or so to prevent the next war of aggression--this time against Iran.
Iran - US War planning moves up a gear

By Richard Bennett


06/20/03: (AFI) The United States military are well advanced in planning their next strategic adventure in the Middle East, an invasion of Iran by late 2004. Whether Washington will attempt to defeat the larger, better armed and more highly motivated Iranian forces with the intention of occupying the entire country must be still very much in doubt however. It will probably finally depend on a number of factors some closely related to covert actions currently being developed within Iran and a successful use of international pressure on the Tehran regime over its weapons of mass destruction programs.
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Central to Washington's intentions is the rising influence of the Pentagons Office of Special Plans, or 'Rumsfelds private intelligence service' according to one disgruntled former CIA officer who spoke to AFI Research last week. This has been accompanied by a distinct decline in the influence of both the CIA and the DIA on US foreign policy in the build up to the war on Iraq. In a return to the tactics of Frank Wisner's OPC in the early 1950's, the United States is embarking on a wide range of destabilizing operations promulgated by the OSP and ranging from the widespread use of industrial sabotage; well targeted assassinations to subversion and instigating civil disturbance particularly by students.
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Special Forces once again to play a leading role
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Further signs of an impending conflict with Iran can be seen in the orders given to both the US and British Special forces to be prepared for large scale action within 12 months. The planning chiefs are fully aware that any campaign in Iran will be very different from Iraq, for not only is the country itself much larger with far more difficult terrain over most of its territory, but also far more effective opposition can be expected from most of the regular armed forces and the fanatical forces of the Pasdaran or Islamic Republican Guard. Special Forces allied to the promotion of internal opposition, wide scale clandestine and psychological warfare along with massive external pressures will undoubtedly be used for many months before any actual conventional military invasion.
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Indeed the signs are that the covert war to undermine the Tehran regime is already well under way.Propaganda and disinformation campaigns are also beginning to take shape with repeated and very vocal condemnation of Iran's WMD and missile programs; its links with North Korea and its open support for terrorism and its Hezbollah allies. Iran's suspected links to many of the terrorist outrages of the last twenty years and the purported growing evidence that Al Qa'ida have been quietly given considerable assistance by both the Pasdaran and the Iranian Intelligence agency, SAVAMA will no doubt be used in an even more extravagant fashion than the endless series of unimpressive documents and dossiers on Iraq which flowed out of Washington and Downing Street in the last year or so.
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Covert CIA teams operating in Iran
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The United States, through the activities of the numerous CIA teams already operating in Iran alongside anti-Government elements is attempting to build bridges with dissident elements within the Iranian army, police and administration. There is some reason to believe that the Americans have already achieved some measurable success in undermining the regimes trust in its senior officer corps. However, Washington is already well aware that it might be wise to have obtained a far greater degree of international consensus before launching another war in an already fragile region and far greater efforts can be expected to win over both the United Nations and the main Western European countries particularly as Russia may not take kindly to yet more US bases ringing its southern borders and China is distinctly disturbed at Washington's growing influence and power in South Asia. However Pakistan may, according to normally well informed Indian sources, have already offered its territory for an eventual US military campaign.President Musharraf apparently now feels that only whole hearted support for Washington may be enough to save him from a gathering Islamic backlash.
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However it remains to be seen whether this will eventually lead to a full scale US assault or perhaps only to the seizure of the main Iranian oil fields close to the border with occupied Iraq and perhaps the heavily militarized coastal area which Iran uses to threaten the main tanker routes out of the Gulf through the Straits of Hormuz. This Washington may eventually decide will prove sufficient, allied to massive covert operations, to overthrow the regime in Tehran without recourse to another major military campaign. However the United States is keeping all its options open and is likely to quickly build an impressive military infrastructure in Iraq, expand its facilities in many of the Gulf States,as well as in Pakistan, Afghanistan and increasingly in a number of the former Soviet Central Asian states.
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Will the mighty dollar be the final arbiter of victory?
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Whether, the mass of American and British people will quite so easily swallow the political 'spin' and accept the case for action against the Mullahs in Tehran that will be put to them once again by Bush and Blair, may be less certain. The International community is also even more likely to cast doubt on Washington's 'evidence' this time, unless of course the lure of the US dollar proves as strong as ever at the crucial moment. After all, the United States recent widespread use of secret monetary diplomacy simply seemed to confirm the old adage that every man does indeed have his price and that nations merely cost more to buy!
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Richard M. Bennett

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Richard Bennett Media.  rbmedia@supanet.com

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